Stability in Sight, Midcaps to Perform Better

Will midcaps outperform the large caps in the next one year? Which sectors are expected to do well? Forbes India asks the experts

Published: Nov 18, 2013

The financial markets generate a lot of number on a per second basis. There are people who have made it a profession to convert this information into trends, buy-sell signals, charts and pivot tables. Over the last 18 years of financial journalism, I have realised that every number has a story to tell. And these numbers as a trend normally never lie. I am forever looking for these trends.

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The CNX midcap Index has underperformed the broader market by almost 18-20 percent due to sluggish demand, high interest costs and cost pressures. We expect these factors to ease in the coming year. Midcaps are trading at a discount of about 20 percent to large caps. With better earnings growth and the valuations gap closing, we expect them to perform better. We also expect the consumption cycle to continue on the back of strong rural demand.
Sanjay Chawla,  
CIO, Baroda Pioneer AMC



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Midcaps are impacted more by broader economic factors: They are likely to suffer in a downturn and perform well when a recovery sets in. The economy is likely to see greater stability next year and the probability of midcaps outperforming the large caps is high. Export-oriented segments are expected to do well. Companies focussed on long-term demographic plays in FMCG, retail and financials will offer good opportunities.
Nilesh Sathe,
Director & CEO, LIC Nomura MF


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The midcap and the small cap stocks start moving up only after the initial euphoria moves up large cap stocks. That’s because in the midcap stocks, liquidity is not as high as large cap stocks. A sector-specific approach may not work as there are many midcap companies and the size of the segment is large. Yes, they would outperform the large cap stocks, though not all midcap stocks are expected to beat the large cap ones.
V Balasubramanian,
Vice president & fund manager—equity, IDBI AMC


(This story appears in the 29 November, 2013 issue of Forbes India. You can buy our tablet version from Magzter.com. To visit our Archives, click here.)

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