The greatest showdown in the history of India’s stock exchanges has just begun. And it is all set to change the way we invest
In the bloody era of bare-knuckle boxing, the first ever world heavyweight championship took place on Hampshire meadows in 1860, between two men totally unlike each other. American John Heenan, a well-read musician and gold prospector, fought Briton Tom Sayers, the illiterate son of a cobbler. The fight went down as the most brutal in history. They punched each other to near-death, and fought on despite Heenan losing his sight and Sayers dislocating a shoulder. After 140 minutes and 37 rounds, police intervened to stop the fight inconclusively. It had been so savage that it forced both the fighters into retirement.
In the much gentler present, however, such fights don’t take place in the meadows. They are often hosted at the boardrooms in the world of money. Equally ferocious and cunning, these fights nevertheless involve adversaries in their suits delivering heavy blows in practiced vocabulary. Not a drop of blood may be shed, but fortunes are made and lost, careers are built and demolished, heroes born and buried. In ruthlessness, they make the boxing ring look like the Garden of Eden.
This is the story of one such fight. The battlefield is India’s stock market, the stakes are the lucrative fees for putting through the millions of buy and sell orders for shares, bonds, currency and their derivative contracts. The adversaries, just like the prize fighters at Hampshire, are two diametrically opposite characters, common only in their killer’s instinct. And it is already developing into a bloody good fight.
On the one side is National Stock Exchange (NSE), which has replaced the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) as India’s premier bourse. It has an impeccable pedigree with the country’s best-known public and private institutions as well as marquee foreign financial giants as its shareholders. It has built up a virtual monopoly in stock derivatives and enjoys a net profit margin of more than 50 percent. Its benchmark index, the 50-share Nifty, is increasingly becoming a global asset. NSE is run by suave and classy executives.
On the other corner is MCX-SX, India’s newest stock exchange promoted by the Financial Technologies group of Jignesh Shah, a maverick businessman who quit a career as an engineer at BSE to become an entrepreneur just about the time NSE was starting 15 years ago. Shah is known for his lightning speed of execution. After all, he made a billion dollars in about a decade and built India’s largest commodities exchange in half that duration. To run the stock exchange, he has put together a team of aggressive strategists and technology experts who share his love for a good fight.
The two will come to blows in a matter of two, perhaps three, months when MCX-SX starts hosting the trading of equity shares and their derivatives. The clash will most certainly change the way you and I invest. In the marketplace, they will hit each other where it hurts most – transaction fees, trading and settlement norms, membership drives, variety in investment products, global outreach and ways to attract the non-investing public into the markets.
The duel shall come later, but the sparring has begun already. Both NSE and MCX-SX have unleashed an information war, leaving neither media nor regulators and courts unaddressed in their quest to discredit each other. Doubtless, their rivalry has a longer history, but it has reached a feverish pitch in the last few weeks as the D-day approaches. MCX-SX portrays NSE as a monopolist who doesn’t want competition, while NSE portrays Shah’s group as an unruly fighter that must be contained.
Ugly as it may be, the fight has already brought us benefits. It has thrown light over the way the stock market is run in the country. In a population of 1.2 billion people, less than 15 million have turned investors so far. Questions are being asked about taking investing to the next 100 million. India had a vibrant network of regional stock exchanges even a decade or so ago and the need for reviving activity in those corners is being felt now.
NSE is ever keener to dispel any notion of its being a slumbering giant and MCX-SX is going the extra mile to assert its credibility. It might all lead to a happy ending if the fight yields investors a more efficient and transparent market at sustainably lower costs of transaction.
The Next Frontier
The day the first equity deal is put through MCX-SX, it would have earned a rare distinction. There are exactly 99 major stock exchanges in the world and MCX-SX would be the 100th. Forty percent of the world’s stock exchanges are less than two decades old. They are changing the face of the industry with technology. Stock trading, a largely national affair till the 1990s, has become global thanks to electronic trading.
As one who made money in the burst of technology in the exchange business, Jignesh Shah quickly moved on to run exchanges himself. His flagship venture, Financial Technologies (FT), provides software for broker terminals and has a commanding market share. Eighty percent of NSE brokers use FT’s software. The Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) promoted by him has become the world’s sixth largest commodities futures exchange, overtaking London Metal Exchange. His group has branched into other asset classes such as currency and power. The next frontier is the equity market.
The temptation is understandable. The stock exchange business is exploding the world over. Global trading volumes have reached an unprecedented $500 trillion, or nine times the world’s GDP. Each transaction fetches a risk-free fee to the exchange. Volumes are growing at 20 percent a year and core profits (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation, or EBITDA) can be as high as 60-80 percent. The business offers steady cash flow in return for a one-time investment and the stickiness of customers (members) is high.
Indian exchanges are poised for even better performance, says a research report by IDFC-SSKI. Their current turnover of $4 trillion could balloon to $10 trillion by 2014. Indians are diversifying their investment across asset classes, from equity to commodities, currency and even power. The growing economy is spurring investment interest in smaller towns and even villages. On the other hand, India’s regional stock exchanges have been pretty much marginalised by the Big Two: NSE and BSE. The latter is largely a spot exchange for shares and hasn’t found success in new revenue streams. That leaves just NSE to bite into this very big apple.
Not if Shah has his way. With MCX for commodities, he has already stolen a march over everybody, including the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) promoted by NSE and a clutch of financial institutions. Currency trading on MCX-SX has already overtaken the corresponding volume on NSE. He believes he can find similar success in equities. But that would hit the core of NSE’s business; the same NSE which gave Jignesh Shah the first big break in business years ago.
The Odd Man In
Jignesh Shah was once sent to London by his employer BSE so that he may learn the modern advancements in stock exchange technology and implement them back home. A few of his colleagues also went to places like New York and Tokyo. Shah says they all came back in September 1993 fully armed with the latest knowledge of world markets and waited. They waited for 15 months for BSE to roll out its initiative. But BSE ended up outsourcing the job and the group got frustrated, says Shah. On January 1, 1995, they broke their three-year bonds with BSE and started an exchange software business on their own. Shah says he paid BSE Rs. 15 lakh on his and his friends’ behalf as penalty for breaking the bonds. It proved to be a shrewd investment. Thirteen years later, he had stepped into the Forbes Billionaires List as the world’s 1,014th richest man.
Infographics: Malay Karmakar
Back when he was starting out, he went to both BSE and NSE demonstrating the broker terminal software his company had developed. With big companies like Tata Consultancy pitching for the same business, the odds were quite against Shah. He was neither a financial expert nor a trader. He wasn’t a software architect either. “I didn’t know the difference between shares and debentures when I joined BSE,” Shah says. But he succeeded in his presentation to NSE. FT was empanelled along with the big companies. And he soon outsold his competitors. Even after all these years and the current bitter fight with NSE, there is nostalgia and gratitude in Shah’s voice as he recounts that turning point.
The second time Shah was considered an odd man out was when he started MCX in 2003. Again, his lack of pedigree was cited by critics. Not many gave him a chance against the expertise available at NSE’s baby, NCDEX. Again, Shah had the last word. In seven years, MCX has become the benchmark platform for trading in metals and energy, though it has lost out to NCDEX in agricultural commodities.
Shah then looked around for other classes. He decided to start a stock exchange and also set up an ecosystem of multi-asset exchanges abroad. He started currency futures on the stock exchange and waited for approval to start equity trading. On the other hand, NSE was also moving into Shah’s territory, financial software. With each stepping on the other’s toes, an all-out war was inevitable.