Forbes India 15th Anniversary Special

Unemployment rate in India (2008 to 2024): Current rate, historical trends and more

What is the current unemployment rate in India? How about the unemployment rate in the last ten years? Let's find out

Published: Jul 8, 2024 05:28:00 PM IST
Updated: Jul 8, 2024 05:29:00 PM IST


Unemployment is a critical issue that continues to challenge the economic landscape of India. As one of the world's most populous nations with a diverse workforce, fluctuations in the unemployment rate have far-reaching implications for the country's growth and development. So, what is the current unemployment rate in India?

According to the India Employment Report 2024, created jointly by the Institute for Human Development and the International Labour Organisation (ILO), India's working population increased from 61 percent in 2011 to 64 percent in 2021, and it is projected to reach 65 percent in 2036. However, the percent of youth involved in economic activities declined to 37 percent in 2022. Continued vigilance and effective policy measures remain crucial to foster sustainable job growth and secure the nation's future prosperity.

In this blog, we discuss the current unemployment rate in India a little more in-depth, along with the unemployment rate in the last ten years.

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The Current Unemployment Rate in India:

According to the latest data from the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE), an independent think tank, the unemployment rate in India stood at 9.2 percent in June 2024, a sharp increase from 7 percent in May 2024.

CMIE's Consumer Pyramids Household Survey shows that female unemployment reached 18.5 percent, exceeding the national average, in June 2024. This is up from 15.1 percent in the same period last year. At the same time, male unemployment stood at 7.8 percent, slightly higher than 7.7 percent in June 2023.

While the Labour Participation Rate (LPR) rose to 41.4 percent in June 2024 from 40.8 percent in May and up from 39.9 percent in June 2023, the rural unemployment rate rose to 9.3 percent in June from 6.3 percent in May. The urban unemployment rate climbed from 8.6 percent to 8.9 percent. LPR is made up of people working or willing to work and actively looking for a job among the total working-age population (15 years of age and above).

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These changing trends in labour demand and employment rates call for thoughtful policy measures to address the prevailing economic challenges and ensure sustainable growth in rural and urban areas. It highlights the importance of diversifying economic activities to create more employment opportunities and bolster the country's financial resilience.

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Unemployment Rate in India: Historical Data

If you are wondering about the unemployment rate last ten years or 15 years, we have the data in a tidy little chart for you:

Year Unemployment Rate (percent)
2024 9.2 (June 2024)
2023 8.003
2022 7.33
2021 5.98
2020 8.00
2019 5.27
2018 5.33
2017 5.36
2016 5.42
2015 5.44
2014 5.44
2013 5.42
2012 5.41
2011 5.43
2010 5.55
2009 5.54
2008 5.41

Source: CMIE

How is the Current Unemployment Rate Calculated?

The past and current unemployment rate in India is a critical economic indicator expressed as a percentage that varies based on the prevailing economic conditions.

When job opportunities become scarce during economic downturns, unemployment tends to increase. Contrarily, during economic growth and prosperity periods, with many job opportunities available to the public, the unemployment rate is expected to decline.

The formula to calculate the current unemployment rate in India is as follows:

Unemployment Rate = Number of Unemployed Persons / Civilian Labor Force

Or,

Unemployment Rate = Number of Unemployed Persons / (Number of Employed Persons + Number of Unemployed Persons)

To be classified as unemployed, an individual must meet specific criteria:

They must be at least 16 years old and available to work full-time in the last four weeks.

They should be actively seeking employment during this period.

Some exceptions include individuals who are temporarily laid off and actively looking to rejoin their previous jobs.

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Major Economic Events Impacting the Unemployment Rate in India in the Past

Throughout our economic history, several significant events have significantly impacted the unemployment rate in India.

  1. Global Financial Crisis (2008-2009): The 2008 global financial crisis severely affected India's economy, leading to a slowdown in growth and reduced employment opportunities in various sectors.
  2. Demonetisation (2016): The government's decision to demonetise high-value currency notes in 2016 caused economic disruptions, particularly in the informal sector, resulting in temporary job losses.
  3. Goods and Services Tax (GST) Implementation (2017): The introduction of GST aimed to simplify the tax structure, but it initially caused short-term disruptions in the economy, affecting businesses and employment.
  4. Covid-19 Pandemic (2020): The Covid-19 pandemic and the subsequent lockdown measures profoundly impacted the Indian economy, resulting in a surge in unemployment as businesses closed and economic activities came to a standstill.
  5. Inflationary Pressures: India has also faced inflationary pressures over the years, influencing the current unemployment rate in India. High inflation rates can erode the purchasing power of consumers, leading to reduced demand for goods and services. This can have a cascading effect on businesses, resulting in cost-cutting measures, including layoffs and hiring freezes, leading to higher unemployment rates.

FAQs

1. Which is the state with the highest unemployment rate in India? How about the state with the lowest unemployment rate in India?

As of December 2022, Haryana had the highest unemployment rate in India, at 37.4 percent. As for the lowest, data from the same time suggests Odisha is the state with the lowest unemployment rate in India at 0.9 percent.

2. How does the unemployment rate impact the Indian economy?

The unemployment rate impacts the Indian economy by influencing spending, growth, and job opportunities. A high rate hinders economic progress and can lead to social unrest, while a low rate indicates a thriving job market and a growing economy. Policymakers use it to inform strategies for job creation and economic development.