Crypto community eyeing three macro events to tip crypto scales in July
If the Fed continues to hike the interest rates to curb inflation, BTC might enter a full-scale recession for the first time ever
By Shashank Bhardwaj
The crypto community is awaiting three significant dates in the month of July that can tremendously affect the crypto-asset market and the United States' macroeconomic conditions this year.
The monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the data related to inflation will be out to the public on July 13. On July 26-27, an important announcement regarding the hike of the interest rates will be made, and on July 28, the US Q2 2022 gross domestic product (GDP) estimates will be released. These significant releases will judge whether the US is in a technical recession.
July 13th: CPI release date
CPI is supposed to be released on 13 July by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. As per Trading economics, the current stats for the June inflation rate or CPI is 8.7 percent which is a little higher than May’s 8.6 percent.
Michael van de Poppe, the founder and CEO of an educational platform and crypto-based consultancy, EightGlobal, tweeted that “all eyes on the CPI data next week and the Fed,” which will add to the bullish estimates for Bitcoin if the price goes above $20,000.
Wolves of Crypto (Twitter account name), co-founder of The Crypto Academy, said in a tweet, “All eyes on CPI numbers on July 13th. If CPI comes in lower, that will be the catalyst for a dead cat bounce (for Bitcoin).”
CPI is used to assess the magnitude of inflation by taking out the average change in consumer prices based on a basket of household goods and services. If inflation rises further, demand for crypto assets might be negatively impacted.
Bitcoin was developed during a time of high inflation owing to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and proved to be a great inflation hedge due to its scarcity and fixed supply. In recent years, however, Bitcoin has been behaving like the traditional tech stocks.
July 26th-27th: Announcement of Fed interest rate hike
Post the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting this month. Interest rates may increase more after the increase of 75 basis points in June.
Interest rate hikes are a basic tool the Federal Reserve uses to keep inflation in check. It can have a negative effect on the crypto assets as the investors may divert their investments to low-risk assets or interest-bearing accounts for decent earnings.
FOMC will determine whether to increase rates by 50 or 75 basis points this month. Charlie Bilello, CEO and founder of Compound Capital Advisors, tweeted higher amount expectations.
July 28: Is recession truly here?
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will announce an advance forecast of the country’s GDP for the second quarter of 2022 on July 28. Q1 of 2022 witnessed a decline of -1.6 percent in GDP. Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow tracker has estimated a -2.1 percent fall in GDP for Q2 2022.
Two consecutive quarters with falling GDP will bring the US into a ‘technical recession’. If the US faces a recession which might begin in 2023, Bitcoin will face its first full-scale recession and may decline like the tech stocks.
Notwithstanding the negative aspects of the economy, few crypto gurus see the macro-catalysed crypto-asset market meltdown as a positive event for the community. Erik Voorhees, CEO and founder of ShapeShift and co-founder of Coinapult, told his followers on Twitter that the crypto-asset crash was “least worrisome” to him. Alliance DAO core contributor Qiao Wang commented that the macroeconomic condition for the crypto community is an “exogenous factor.”
The writer is the founder at yMedia. He ventured into crypto in 2013 and is an ETH maximalist. Twitter: @bhardwajshash
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New York looking to criminalise crypto fraudsRead More..
Popular NFT launch on Ethereum loses $34 million in faulty smart contractRead More..
DeFi platforms at much higher risk than centralised exchanges: reportRead More..
Twitter to allow crypto payments, backed by StripeRead More..
Bahamas may allow residents to pay taxes with cryptoRead More..
Coinbase to acquire BtcTurk exchange for $3.2 billionRead More..
Paris Hilton invests in Afterparty's new NFT ticketing platformRead More..
Ridley Scott to Make a Movie on EthereumRead More..
Russia to include cryptocurrencies in its updated tax lawsRead More..
40 crypto companies sign open letter to EU regulatorsRead More..
BTC and ETH will break all-time highs in 2022: Celsius CEORead More..
Blockchain games are leading the DApp industry: DappRadar reportRead More..
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman calls for global crypto regulationsRead More..
WazirX co-founders shifting base to DubaiRead More..
Blockchain.com reportedly exploring IPO this yearRead More..
CoinDCX raises over $135 million in fresh funding round, now worth $2 billionRead More..
Atari terminates blockchain joint venture with ICICB GroupRead More..
Monero's July hard fork confirmed by its communityRead More..
Backed by Shark Tank's Kevin O'Leary, WonderFi set to acquire Canadian exchange CoinberryRead More..
US Govt Links North Korea to Axie Infinity HackRead More..
Jack Dorsey's first tweet NFT resells for only $280Read More..
Opera crypto browser now available on iOSRead More..
Beanstalk Stablecoin protocol loses $182 million in governance exploitRead More..
Jack Dorsey vs. Vladimir Tenev on Bitcoin transaction feesRead More..
Ripple claims 'a very big win' in SEC caseRead More..
Argentinian town to invest in crypto mining to fight inflation, upgrade rail infraRead More..
Pantera Capital closing fundraise for its blockchain fund after raising $1.3 billionRead More..
Homegrown blockchain co Polygon commits to go carbon neutral this yearRead More..
NBA registers four NFT trademarksRead More..
US crypto expert jailed 63 months for helping North KoreaRead More..
Fortnite developer Epic Games raises $2 billion to build for the metaverseRead More..
Indian companies storm the metaverse and NFT spaceRead More..
Coinbase is producing a movie trilogy on Bored Ape NFTsRead More..
Multiple Indian Twitter accounts hacked, NFT content postedRead More..
German police shut down $1.3 billion illegal darknet firmRead More..
Meta tests sale of virtual goods in metaverseRead More..
Bitcoin 2022 Conference: Bitcoin Maximalists attack national currenciesRead More..
Binance Gets In-Principle Approval to Operate as Crypto Broker in Abu DhabiRead More..
EU limits Russians' crypto investments to 10k EurosRead More..
Coinbase suspends UPI payments in India three days after launchRead More..
From KFC to Tesla, Dell: Crypto-curious corporations struggle to find right recipeRead More..
In Texas, crypto miners turn to solar powerRead More..
South Africa concludes technical Proof-of-Concept for its CBDC settlement systemRead More..
Terra buys $200 million in AVAX for reservesRead More..
Bitcoin will remain as a standard: Chess world champion Garry KasparovRead More..
Coinbase launches in IndiaRead More..
Meta working on virtual money 'Zuck Bucks': reportRead More..
Germany closes Russian darknet marketplace HydraRead More..
Britain paves way to accept stablecoinRead More..
Crypto industry reels from $600 million hackRead More..
NFT of Nelson Mandela's arrest warrant auctioned for $130,000Read More..
Bank of England calls for tighter regulation of cryptocurrenciesRead More..
ECB's Lagarde 'concerned' about crypto use to dodge Russia sanctionsRead More..
Crypto provides fix for some in crisis-hit AfghanistanRead More..
Bitcoin to the rescue: Cryptocurrencies' role in UkraineRead More..
Digital art in spotlight as Dubai makes crypto hub bidRead More..
G7 looks to thwart cryptoassets use as Russian sanctions dodgeRead More..
Can cryptocurrencies give Russia, others breather from economic sanctions?Read More..
Cryptocurrencies enter Russia-Ukraine conflictRead More..
Russia seeks to regulate cryptocurrenciesRead More..
Donald Trump's NFT collection to laud his own presidencyRead More..